I admit that I never foresaw the pendulum swinging back this hard. I was hoping for, and expecting a small Dem majority in the House. And I just barely let myself believe in the possibility of equality in the Senate. But never did I allow for the possibility of a generational change slamming the door on Republicans like has happened. Governors, state legislatures, local school boards, county officials, all have been swept up in this voter announcement that they have had enough of MAGA, and the corruption and failure that it entails.
I'm holding my breath as I wait for the follow through. Maybe we can begin the journey to regain some worldwide respect, and actually live up to our ideals. Fingers crossed!
Polls underestimated Democrats because a lot of respondents who voted for Trump in 2024 regret it and didn’t want to admit it, so pollsters had to include more respondents who did admit to voting for Trump to get an even sample (the “shy Trump voter” turned on its head). What caused this swing? A lot of people seeing him actually do the things he threatened rather than just talk about them (seeing neighbors, coworkers, locals carted off by ICE, watching prices rise due to tariffs, a dumb war, corruption on overdrive) I think is part of it. But also—the Trump Show is now ten years in and I think a lot of people are bored and tired of his schtick. Those of us who always disliked him may miss that for a lot of people, he was entertaining and novel, but even that act can wear off over time.
It's been great seeing the worst people in our government getting shown the door. Hyde Smith, looks like Virginia Foxx is out, and of course, Boebert. Marsha Blackburn is out of the Senate in January but I'm sure we will still see her antics as Tennessee gov. Ron Johnson is up in 2028 but we have to wait until 2030 to get rid of the absolute worst of the worst, Ted Cruz.
Great context! I appreciate your research on the historical foundation that led to yesterday’s awesome moment!
I only hope that when the movie is made they find a lead actor with as much charisma as Colom. It won't be easy. He's a one-in-a-generation (excepting Obama, of course)!
Hopefully this leads to long term high black turnout in the South—really the fist time since Reconstruction that the black vote was decisive in Mississippi. (Bad as Stennis was, his colleague Eastland sounded like the head of the Klan, and he may well have been, and that’s the sort of Democrat you’d see elected there those days). The key is to make this not be a one time fluke due to Republican complacency (Hyde-Smith was a particularly bad politician of the sort you usually get when your party feels “safe” with that seat, see also Roger Marshall) and Democrats energized by Trump’s Mussolini Era. Colom is up next in 2032 and will need the black turnout on max with just enough whites happy with him and Democrats in general (he will for better or worse be tied to national Democrats, all the more reason for Schumer to step down if he gave a crap about the country rather than his own self regard).
And has any group shit itself in the foot harder than the Israel lobby? Siding with antisemites because they hate Muslims as much as you do, and losing most Jews and philosemitic non-Jews, while ALSO having Trumpers turn on you—just amazing.
I admit that I never foresaw the pendulum swinging back this hard. I was hoping for, and expecting a small Dem majority in the House. And I just barely let myself believe in the possibility of equality in the Senate. But never did I allow for the possibility of a generational change slamming the door on Republicans like has happened. Governors, state legislatures, local school boards, county officials, all have been swept up in this voter announcement that they have had enough of MAGA, and the corruption and failure that it entails.
I'm holding my breath as I wait for the follow through. Maybe we can begin the journey to regain some worldwide respect, and actually live up to our ideals. Fingers crossed!
Polls underestimated Democrats because a lot of respondents who voted for Trump in 2024 regret it and didn’t want to admit it, so pollsters had to include more respondents who did admit to voting for Trump to get an even sample (the “shy Trump voter” turned on its head). What caused this swing? A lot of people seeing him actually do the things he threatened rather than just talk about them (seeing neighbors, coworkers, locals carted off by ICE, watching prices rise due to tariffs, a dumb war, corruption on overdrive) I think is part of it. But also—the Trump Show is now ten years in and I think a lot of people are bored and tired of his schtick. Those of us who always disliked him may miss that for a lot of people, he was entertaining and novel, but even that act can wear off over time.
It's been great seeing the worst people in our government getting shown the door. Hyde Smith, looks like Virginia Foxx is out, and of course, Boebert. Marsha Blackburn is out of the Senate in January but I'm sure we will still see her antics as Tennessee gov. Ron Johnson is up in 2028 but we have to wait until 2030 to get rid of the absolute worst of the worst, Ted Cruz.
Don’t forget Boebert, who moved to a safer district and lost there.
Great context! I appreciate your research on the historical foundation that led to yesterday’s awesome moment!
I only hope that when the movie is made they find a lead actor with as much charisma as Colom. It won't be easy. He's a one-in-a-generation (excepting Obama, of course)!
Oscar winner Maershala Ali.
Hopefully this leads to long term high black turnout in the South—really the fist time since Reconstruction that the black vote was decisive in Mississippi. (Bad as Stennis was, his colleague Eastland sounded like the head of the Klan, and he may well have been, and that’s the sort of Democrat you’d see elected there those days). The key is to make this not be a one time fluke due to Republican complacency (Hyde-Smith was a particularly bad politician of the sort you usually get when your party feels “safe” with that seat, see also Roger Marshall) and Democrats energized by Trump’s Mussolini Era. Colom is up next in 2032 and will need the black turnout on max with just enough whites happy with him and Democrats in general (he will for better or worse be tied to national Democrats, all the more reason for Schumer to step down if he gave a crap about the country rather than his own self regard).
And has any group shit itself in the foot harder than the Israel lobby? Siding with antisemites because they hate Muslims as much as you do, and losing most Jews and philosemitic non-Jews, while ALSO having Trumpers turn on you—just amazing.
“The south hasn’t seen this much blue since Sherman marched through it”
Congrats to Senator-elect Scott Colom and to Mississippi.