Now it will come time for FUD to be thrown about Crowley as we pivot to the general. The job is not done, and everything we've seen shows that it *matters* when Democrats are in office.
But of course, people need an excuse...any tiny one will do...to vote for the unreconstructed party. So let's make sure that we have the best chance of victory and everyone go vote!
Also, FPTP is a really shitty way to vote, and beyond even its myriad first order deficiencies, it makes polling for 3+ candidates highly unpredictable for the simple reason that it never cares about who their second or third choice is.
So when you have a 6-9 person race like this and candidates start dropping out, polls can’t capture the late movement.
That’s why we shouldn’t take too much comfort in our candidate having any lead where they’re not breaking 50% in a two way race—and a corollary to that is the hyperventilating over a candidate we oppose having awful approval ratings (eg “look, McConnell is at 40% approval in deep red Kentucky! Donate to our liberal college professor opponent who can win over the 60% who do not approve!”). It’s worth delving into WHY those swingers don’t approve (turns out a lot of conservatives hated Mitch McConnell for not being nasty enough to Democrats and sure won’t vote for Professor Woke).
Have Democrats put much thought into why so many late breaking undecideds broke for Trump? Might be useful analysis, more so than focus grouping egg price messaging.
We are taking that same mindset with Trump as well. This isn't 2018. He may have a dismal approval rating but that doesn't translate into a 67% approval for anything that opposes him. Democrats' overall approval is *even worse*, after all.
"Undecideds" just want the attention and enjoy goosing polls. These are just people who honestly don't care at all; the problems of people who are not them don't really matter. And frankly given the baseline of a lot of Americans, that movement towards a 34x felonious conman sex predator was a great middle finger to queers, Black people, and women with "danger hair" and pronouns who annoy them by not being accessible.
"Have Democrats put much thought into why so many late breaking undecideds broke for Trump?"
That is the very question I wanted to have answered. I have long had a theory (unsupported by any factual evidence) that so-called Undecided voters are usually Republicans who don't want to admit it out loud. My theory also applies to those who call themselves Independents, although that group also includes the purity ponies who will never find a party to their liking.
Now it will come time for FUD to be thrown about Crowley as we pivot to the general. The job is not done, and everything we've seen shows that it *matters* when Democrats are in office.
But of course, people need an excuse...any tiny one will do...to vote for the unreconstructed party. So let's make sure that we have the best chance of victory and everyone go vote!
Also, FPTP is a really shitty way to vote, and beyond even its myriad first order deficiencies, it makes polling for 3+ candidates highly unpredictable for the simple reason that it never cares about who their second or third choice is.
So when you have a 6-9 person race like this and candidates start dropping out, polls can’t capture the late movement.
That’s why we shouldn’t take too much comfort in our candidate having any lead where they’re not breaking 50% in a two way race—and a corollary to that is the hyperventilating over a candidate we oppose having awful approval ratings (eg “look, McConnell is at 40% approval in deep red Kentucky! Donate to our liberal college professor opponent who can win over the 60% who do not approve!”). It’s worth delving into WHY those swingers don’t approve (turns out a lot of conservatives hated Mitch McConnell for not being nasty enough to Democrats and sure won’t vote for Professor Woke).
Have Democrats put much thought into why so many late breaking undecideds broke for Trump? Might be useful analysis, more so than focus grouping egg price messaging.
We are taking that same mindset with Trump as well. This isn't 2018. He may have a dismal approval rating but that doesn't translate into a 67% approval for anything that opposes him. Democrats' overall approval is *even worse*, after all.
"Undecideds" just want the attention and enjoy goosing polls. These are just people who honestly don't care at all; the problems of people who are not them don't really matter. And frankly given the baseline of a lot of Americans, that movement towards a 34x felonious conman sex predator was a great middle finger to queers, Black people, and women with "danger hair" and pronouns who annoy them by not being accessible.
I think you are giving them too much credit for mendaciousness when most of them pay almost no attention until the first week in November.
"Have Democrats put much thought into why so many late breaking undecideds broke for Trump?"
That is the very question I wanted to have answered. I have long had a theory (unsupported by any factual evidence) that so-called Undecided voters are usually Republicans who don't want to admit it out loud. My theory also applies to those who call themselves Independents, although that group also includes the purity ponies who will never find a party to their liking.
I'm a registered independent who has never once voted GOP, although I have voted for the occasional Green and write-in candidate.
"Polls are often misleading, especially when they are only superficially reported."
Considering how the legacy media has been taken over by corporatists, it's no surprise that their reporting is superficial.
That's why I always say, damn the polls, let's go vote.